1
43%
Home Win
2.35
X
26%
Draw
3.92
2
32%
Away Win
3.13
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Shabab an expected 1.5 goals and Al-Fayha FC an expected 1.2 goals. Al Shabab have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Al-Fayha FC at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.2%
1:2
7.5%
2:0
7.2%
0:0
6.6%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
5.1%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
3.5%
1:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al Shabab Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Al Shabab | Al-Fayha FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 10 |
| 35 | Points | 38 |
| 24% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Al Shabab at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Al-Fayha FC Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al Shabab
L
Al-Fayha FC
L
L
