1
5%
Home Win
21.88
X
10%
Draw
9.92
2
85%
Away Win
1.18
xG Home
0.61
xG Away
3.05
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Riyadh an expected 0.6 goals and Al-Nassr an expected 3.1 goals. Al Riyadh have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Al-Nassr at 85%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
12.2%
0:2
12%
0:4
9.3%
0:1
7.9%
1:3
7.4%
1:2
7.3%
1:4
5.7%
1:1
4.8%
0:0
2.6%
2:3
2.3%
2:2
2.2%
2:4
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 85% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.18 |
| Market Odds | 1.25 |
Team Comparison
| Al Riyadh | Al-Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 1 |
| 30 | Points | 86 |
| 21% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.68 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Al Riyadh at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Al-Nassr Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al Riyadh
W
W
Al-Nassr
W
