1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.59
xG Away
2.85
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Riyadh an expected 0.6 goals and Al-Hilal Saudi an expected 2.9 goals. Al Riyadh have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Al-Hilal Saudi at 83%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
13.1%
0:3
12.4%
0:1
9.2%
0:4
8.8%
1:2
7.7%
1:3
7.3%
1:1
5.4%
1:4
5.2%
0:0
3.2%
2:2
2.2%
2:3
2.1%
1:0
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Hilal Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 83% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.2 |
| Market Odds | 1.28 |
Team Comparison
| Al Riyadh | Al-Hilal Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 2 |
| 30 | Points | 84 |
| 21% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.79 |
Venue Form
Al Riyadh at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Al-Hilal Saudi Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al Riyadh
W
W
W
W
Al-Hilal Saudi
W
W
D