Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi Prediction

0 – 2
Most Likely Score
Fri, 16 Oct 2026 · Saudi Pro League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.59
xG Away 2.85
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
BTTS 42%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Riyadh an expected 0.6 goals and Al-Hilal Saudi an expected 2.9 goals. Al Riyadh have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Al-Hilal Saudi at 83%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 13.1%
0:3 12.4%
0:1 9.2%
0:4 8.8%
1:2 7.7%
1:3 7.3%
1:1 5.4%
1:4 5.2%
0:0 3.2%
2:2 2.2%
2:3 2.1%
1:0 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Al-Hilal Saudi Win
Probability 83%
Predicted Odds 1.2
Market Odds 1.28

Team Comparison

Al Riyadh Al-Hilal Saudi
15 League Position 2
30 Points 84
21% Win % 74%
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79

Venue Form

Al Riyadh at Home
W4 D0 L0 (4 games)
100% win rate
Al-Hilal Saudi Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Al Riyadh
W W W W
Al-Hilal Saudi
W W D