1
33%
Home Win
3.07
X
26%
Draw
3.78
2
41%
Away Win
2.44
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Riyadh an expected 1.2 goals and Al-Fateh SC an expected 1.4 goals. Al Riyadh have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Al-Fateh SC at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
0:1
10.5%
1:0
9.1%
1:2
8.6%
0:0
7.7%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.2%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
5.2%
1:3
4%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Fateh SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Al Riyadh | Al-Fateh SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 11 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 21% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Al Riyadh at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Al-Fateh SC Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Al Riyadh
W
W
Al-Fateh SC
D
D
L
L
