1
70%
Home Win
1.44
X
17%
Draw
5.88
2
13%
Away Win
7.52
xG Home
2.47
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Qadisiyah an expected 2.5 goals and Al-Ittihad FC an expected 1.0 goals. Al-Qadisiyah have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Al-Ittihad FC at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.5%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
7.9%
3:1
7.8%
1:0
7.7%
1:1
7.7%
4:0
4.9%
4:1
4.8%
2:2
4.7%
3:2
3.9%
1:2
3.8%
0:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Qadisiyah Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Qadisiyah | Al-Ittihad FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 5 |
| 77 | Points | 55 |
| 68% | Win % | 47% |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Al-Qadisiyah at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Al-Ittihad FC Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Qadisiyah
W
Al-Ittihad FC
W
