1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Qadisiyah an expected 1.4 goals and Al-Hilal Saudi an expected 1.5 goals. Al-Qadisiyah have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al-Hilal Saudi at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
1:2
8.8%
0:1
8.2%
2:1
8%
1:0
7.4%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
6.1%
0:0
5.3%
2:0
5.2%
1:3
4.5%
3:1
3.7%
0:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Hilal Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Qadisiyah | Al-Hilal Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 77 | Points | 84 |
| 68% | Win % | 74% |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.79 |
Venue Form
Al-Qadisiyah at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Al-Hilal Saudi Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al-Qadisiyah
W
W
Al-Hilal Saudi
W
W
D
