Al-Qadisiyah vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction

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2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 · Saudi Pro League
1 77%
Home Win 1.31
X 14%
Draw 7.24
2 9%
Away Win 10.62
xG Home 2.83
xG Away 0.92
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
BTTS 57%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Qadisiyah an expected 2.8 goals and Al-Ettifaq an expected 0.9 goals. Al-Qadisiyah have a 77% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Al-Ettifaq at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 9.4%
3:0 8.9%
2:1 8.7%
3:1 8.2%
1:0 6.6%
4:0 6.3%
1:1 6.1%
4:1 5.8%
2:2 4%
3:2 3.8%
1:2 2.8%
4:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Al-Qadisiyah Win
Probability 77%
Predicted Odds 1.3
Market Odds 1.38

Team Comparison

Al-Qadisiyah Al-Ettifaq
4 League Position 7
77 Points 50
68% Win % 41%
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62

Venue Form

Al-Qadisiyah at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Al-Ettifaq Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Al-Qadisiyah
W W
Al-Ettifaq
D W