1
37%
Home Win
2.72
X
27%
Draw
3.77
2
37%
Away Win
2.73
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Qadisiyah an expected 1.3 goals and Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 1.3 goals. Al-Qadisiyah have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Al-Ahli Saudi at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
9.8%
0:1
9.8%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
8.1%
0:0
7.6%
2:0
6.3%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
3.5%
3:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Qadisiyah Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Qadisiyah | Al-Ahli Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 77 | Points | 81 |
| 68% | Win % | 74% |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Al-Qadisiyah at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Al-Ahli Saudi Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Qadisiyah
W
Al-Ahli Saudi
W
