1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.63
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Qadisiyah an expected 1.6 goals and Abha an expected 1.2 goals. Al-Qadisiyah have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Abha at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
9.6%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
7.8%
0:1
7.1%
1:2
7%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
3:1
5.1%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Qadisiyah Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Venue Form
Al-Qadisiyah at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Abha Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al-Qadisiyah
W
W
Abha
L
D
L
