1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.71
xG Away
0.64
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Nassr an expected 2.7 goals and NEOM SC an expected 0.6 goals. Al-Nassr have a 81% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and NEOM SC at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.9%
3:0
11.6%
1:0
9.5%
2:1
8.2%
4:0
7.9%
3:1
7.5%
1:1
6.1%
4:1
5.1%
0:0
3.5%
2:2
2.6%
3:2
2.4%
0:1
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 81% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.23 |
| Market Odds | 1.31 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Nassr | NEOM SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 86 | Points | 45 |
| 82% | Win % | 35% |
| 2.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Al-Nassr at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
NEOM SC Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Nassr
W
W
D
NEOM SC
W
