1
88%
Home Win
1.14
X
9%
Draw
11.51
2
3%
Away Win
31.65
xG Home
3.11
xG Away
0.48
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Nassr an expected 3.1 goals and Damac an expected 0.5 goals. Al-Nassr have a 88% win probability, draw stands at 9%, and Damac at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
13.9%
2:0
13.4%
4:0
10.8%
1:0
8.6%
3:1
6.6%
2:1
6.4%
4:1
5.1%
1:1
4.1%
0:0
2.8%
3:2
1.6%
2:2
1.5%
0:1
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Nassr | Damac | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 16 |
| 86 | Points | 29 |
| 82% | Win % | 18% |
| 2.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Al-Nassr at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Damac Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al-Nassr
W
W
D
Damac
L
L
Head to Head
Damac
1 : 2
Al-Nassr
W
Damac
2 : 3
Al-Nassr
W
Al-Nassr
2 : 0
Damac
L
