1
85%
Home Win
1.17
X
10%
Draw
10.26
2
4%
Away Win
22.73
xG Home
3.11
xG Away
0.61
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Nassr an expected 3.1 goals and Al-Fateh SC an expected 0.6 goals. Al-Nassr have a 85% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Al-Fateh SC at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
12.1%
2:0
11.7%
4:0
9.4%
1:0
7.5%
3:1
7.4%
2:1
7.2%
4:1
5.8%
1:1
4.6%
0:0
2.4%
3:2
2.3%
2:2
2.2%
4:2
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 85% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.18 |
| Market Odds | 1.25 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Nassr | Al-Fateh SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 11 |
| 86 | Points | 37 |
| 82% | Win % | 26% |
| 2.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Al-Nassr at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Al-Fateh SC Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al-Nassr
W
D
Al-Fateh SC
D
L
L
