1
8%
Home Win
12.39
X
16%
Draw
6.2
2
76%
Away Win
1.32
xG Home
0.61
xG Away
2.31
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Kholood an expected 0.6 goals and Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 2.3 goals. Al Kholood have a 8% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Al-Ahli Saudi at 76%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
14.5%
0:1
12.6%
0:3
11.1%
1:2
8.8%
1:1
7.6%
1:3
6.7%
0:4
6.4%
0:0
5.4%
1:4
3.9%
1:0
3.3%
2:2
2.7%
2:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ahli Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 76% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.32 |
| Market Odds | 1.4 |
Team Comparison
| Al Kholood | Al-Ahli Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 3 |
| 33 | Points | 81 |
| 26% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Al Kholood at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Al-Ahli Saudi Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al Kholood
D
D
Al-Ahli Saudi
W
