1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.95
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ittihad FC an expected 1.9 goals and Al Shabab an expected 1.1 goals. Al-Ittihad FC have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Al Shabab at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9%
2:0
8.8%
3:1
6.4%
1:2
5.7%
3:0
5.7%
2:2
5.6%
0:1
5.2%
0:0
4.6%
3:2
3.6%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ittihad FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Ittihad FC | Al Shabab | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 13 |
| 55 | Points | 35 |
| 47% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Al-Ittihad FC at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Al Shabab Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ittihad FC
W
W
L
W
Al Shabab
L
L
