1
60%
Home Win
1.66
X
22%
Draw
4.63
2
18%
Away Win
5.47
xG Home
1.95
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ittihad FC an expected 1.9 goals and Al-Hazem an expected 1.0 goals. Al-Ittihad FC have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Al-Hazem at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
10.5%
2:0
10.2%
1:1
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.6%
3:1
6.5%
0:0
5.4%
0:1
5.3%
1:2
5%
2:2
4.8%
4:0
3.2%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ittihad FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Hazem | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 9 |
| 55 | Points | 42 |
| 47% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Al-Ittihad FC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Al-Hazem Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ittihad FC
L
W
Al-Hazem
L
D
