1
43%
Home Win
2.3
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
29%
Away Win
3.47
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Hilal Saudi an expected 1.3 goals and Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 1.0 goals. Al-Hilal Saudi have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Al-Ahli Saudi at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
12.7%
0:1
9.8%
0:0
9.6%
2:1
8.6%
2:0
8.4%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
3.8%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Hilal Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Hilal Saudi | Al-Ahli Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 84 | Points | 81 |
| 74% | Win % | 74% |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Al-Ahli Saudi Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ahli Saudi
W
