1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Hazem an expected 1.3 goals and Al-Fateh SC an expected 1.2 goals. Al-Hazem have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Al-Fateh SC at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
10.2%
0:1
9.8%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
7.9%
0:0
7.9%
2:0
6.6%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
5.1%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Hazem Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Hazem | Al-Fateh SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 11 |
| 42 | Points | 37 |
| 32% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Al-Hazem at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Al-Fateh SC Away
W0
D2
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Al-Hazem
W
W
Al-Fateh SC
L
D
D
L
L
