1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
2.04
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Fayha FC an expected 0.6 goals and Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 2.0 goals. Al-Fayha FC have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Al-Ahli Saudi at 70%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
14.3%
0:1
14%
0:3
9.7%
1:2
9.1%
1:1
8.9%
0:0
6.9%
1:3
6.2%
0:4
5%
1:0
4.4%
1:4
3.2%
2:2
2.9%
2:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ahli Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Fayha FC | Al-Ahli Saudi | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 3 |
| 38 | Points | 81 |
| 29% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Al-Fayha FC at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Al-Ahli Saudi Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al-Fayha FC
L
L
Al-Ahli Saudi
L
W
