1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Fateh SC an expected 1.5 goals and Al Shabab an expected 1.3 goals. Al-Fateh SC have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Al Shabab at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
9.4%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
8.3%
1:2
7.8%
2:0
6.8%
0:0
6.5%
2:2
5.6%
0:2
5.4%
3:1
4.2%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al Shabab Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Fateh SC | Al Shabab | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 13 |
| 37 | Points | 35 |
| 26% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Al-Fateh SC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Al Shabab Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al-Fateh SC
L
W
Al Shabab
L
L
Head to Head
Al Shabab
1 : 1
Al-Fateh
D
Al-Fateh
2 : 0
Al Shabab
L
Al-Fateh
3 : 1
Al Shabab
L
