1
61%
Home Win
1.65
X
22%
Draw
4.63
2
18%
Away Win
5.66
xG Home
1.93
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Fateh SC an expected 1.9 goals and Al Najma an expected 0.9 goals. Al-Fateh SC have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Al Najma at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11%
2:0
10.6%
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.8%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
5.7%
0:1
5.3%
1:2
4.8%
2:2
4.6%
4:0
3.3%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Fateh SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Fateh SC | Al Najma | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 18 |
| 37 | Points | 16 |
| 26% | Win % | 9% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.24 |
Venue Form
Al-Fateh SC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Al Najma Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Fateh SC
L
W
Al Najma
L
