1
29%
Home Win
3.45
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
46%
Away Win
2.15
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
1.61
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Fateh SC an expected 1.2 goals and Al-Ittihad FC an expected 1.6 goals. Al-Fateh SC have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al-Ittihad FC at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
0:1
9.5%
1:2
9.3%
0:2
7.6%
1:0
7.2%
2:1
7.1%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
1:3
5%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4.1%
2:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ittihad FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Fateh SC | Al-Ittihad FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 5 |
| 37 | Points | 55 |
| 26% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Al-Fateh SC at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Al-Ittihad FC Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Fateh SC
W
Al-Ittihad FC
W
