Al-Fateh SC vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 · Saudi Pro League
1 36%
Home Win 2.81
X 25%
Draw 4.04
2 40%
Away Win 2.52
xG Home 1.40
xG Away 1.49
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
BTTS 58%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Fateh SC an expected 1.4 goals and Al-Ettifaq an expected 1.5 goals. Al-Fateh SC have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al-Ettifaq at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:2 8.6%
0:1 8.3%
2:1 8.1%
1:0 7.8%
0:2 6.2%
2:2 6.1%
0:0 5.5%
2:0 5.4%
1:3 4.3%
3:1 3.8%
0:3 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Al-Ettifaq Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

Al-Fateh SC Al-Ettifaq
11 League Position 7
37 Points 50
26% Win % 41%
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62

Venue Form

Al-Fateh SC at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Al-Ettifaq Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Al-Fateh SC
W
Al-Ettifaq
D W