1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.63
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Faisaly an expected 1.6 goals and Al-Nassr an expected 1.2 goals. Al-Faisaly have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al-Nassr at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
9.6%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
7.8%
0:1
7.1%
1:2
7%
0:0
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
3:1
5.1%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
Al-Faisaly at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Al-Nassr Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al-Faisaly
D
Al-Nassr
D
L
W
Head to Head
Al-Nassr
4 : 0
Al-Faisaly FC
L
Al-Faisaly FC
2 : 1
Al-Nassr
L
Al-Nassr
4 : 3
Al-Faisaly FC
L
