1
60%
Home Win
1.67
X
21%
Draw
4.7
2
19%
Away Win
5.31
xG Home
1.99
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ettifaq an expected 2.0 goals and Al Riyadh an expected 1.0 goals. Al-Ettifaq have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Al Riyadh at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
2:1
10%
1:0
9.7%
2:0
9.7%
3:1
6.6%
3:0
6.5%
1:2
5.1%
2:2
5.1%
0:1
5%
0:0
4.9%
3:2
3.4%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ettifaq Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Ettifaq | Al Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 15 |
| 50 | Points | 30 |
| 41% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Al-Ettifaq at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Al Riyadh Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ettifaq
L
Al Riyadh
D
