1
10%
Home Win
9.96
X
15%
Draw
6.72
2
75%
Away Win
1.33
xG Home
0.89
xG Away
2.66
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ettifaq an expected 0.9 goals and Al-Nassr an expected 2.7 goals. Al-Ettifaq have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Al-Nassr at 75%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.2%
0:3
9%
1:2
9%
1:3
8%
0:1
7.6%
1:1
6.8%
0:4
6%
1:4
5.3%
2:2
4%
2:3
3.6%
2:1
3%
0:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 75% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.33 |
| Market Odds | 1.42 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Ettifaq | Al-Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 1 |
| 50 | Points | 86 |
| 41% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.68 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Al-Ettifaq at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Al-Nassr Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ettifaq
L
Al-Nassr
W