1
22%
Home Win
4.55
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
53%
Away Win
1.87
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Ahly an expected 1.0 goals and Inter Miami an expected 1.6 goals. Al Ahly have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Inter Miami at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.2%
1:1
11.7%
0:2
10%
1:2
9.6%
0:0
7.4%
1:0
7.1%
2:1
5.6%
0:3
5.5%
1:3
5.3%
2:2
4.6%
2:0
3.4%
2:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al Ahly Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Al Ahly | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 2 | Points | 5 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |