1
85%
Home Win
1.18
X
11%
Draw
9.22
2
4%
Away Win
24.88
xG Home
2.78
xG Away
0.47
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 2.8 goals and Al Riyadh an expected 0.5 goals. Al-Ahli Saudi have a 85% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Al Riyadh at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
15.1%
3:0
13.9%
1:0
10.8%
4:0
9.7%
2:1
7%
3:1
6.5%
1:1
5.1%
4:1
4.5%
0:0
3.9%
0:1
1.8%
2:2
1.6%
3:2
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ahli Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 85% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.18 |
| Market Odds | 1.25 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Ahli Saudi | Al Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 15 |
| 81 | Points | 30 |
| 74% | Win % | 21% |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Al-Ahli Saudi at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Al Riyadh Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ahli Saudi
W
Al Riyadh
D
