1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 1.2 goals and Al-Nassr an expected 1.2 goals. Al-Ahli Saudi have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Al-Nassr at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
10.7%
0:1
10.5%
0:0
8.7%
2:1
8%
1:2
7.8%
2:0
6.6%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
4.8%
3:1
3.3%
1:3
3.2%
3:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ahli Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Ahli Saudi | Al-Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 81 | Points | 86 |
| 74% | Win % | 82% |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.68 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Al-Ahli Saudi at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Al-Nassr Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ahli Saudi
W
Al-Nassr
D
L
W
