1
81%
Home Win
1.23
X
13%
Draw
7.47
2
6%
Away Win
18.15
xG Home
2.51
xG Away
0.51
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ahli Saudi an expected 2.5 goals and Al-Hazem an expected 0.5 goals. Al-Ahli Saudi have a 81% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Al-Hazem at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
15.4%
3:0
12.9%
1:0
12.3%
4:0
8.1%
2:1
7.8%
3:1
6.5%
1:1
6.2%
0:0
4.9%
4:1
4.1%
0:1
2.5%
2:2
2%
3:2
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Ahli Saudi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 81% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.23 |
| Market Odds | 1.31 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Ahli Saudi | Al-Hazem | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 9 |
| 81 | Points | 42 |
| 74% | Win % | 32% |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Al-Ahli Saudi at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Al-Hazem Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ahli Saudi
W
Al-Hazem
D
L
D
