AIK Stockholm vs Sirius Prediction

AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 30 May 2026 · Allsvenskan
Sirius Sirius
1 48%
Home Win 2.08
X 24%
Draw 4.22
2 28%
Away Win 3.55
xG Home 1.72
xG Away 1.26
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives AIK Stockholm an expected 1.7 goals and Sirius an expected 1.3 goals. AIK Stockholm have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Sirius at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 9.5%
1:0 8.7%
2:0 7.5%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 6%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5.1%
3:0 4.3%
0:2 4%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sirius Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

AIK Stockholm Sirius
7 League Position 9
48 Points 39
43% Win % 37%
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7

Venue Form

AIK Stockholm at Home
W1 D0 L3 (4 games)
25% win rate
Sirius Away
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate

Recent Form

AIK Stockholm
L L L W
Sirius
W W D W L

Head to Head

31 Aug 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK Stockholm 2 : 1 Sirius
L
19 Jun 2025 Friendlies Clubs
AIK Stockholm 1 : 2 Sirius
W
01 Jun 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius 3 : 1 AIK Stockholm
L