Abha vs Al Kholood Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Mon, 19 Oct 2026 · Saudi Pro League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.63
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Abha an expected 1.6 goals and Al Kholood an expected 1.2 goals. Abha have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al Kholood at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:0 9.6%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.1%
1:2 7%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 5.1%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Abha Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Venue Form

Al Kholood Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Al Kholood
L