Aalesund vs Tromsø IL Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 · Eliteserien
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.71
xG Away 1.27
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Aalesund an expected 1.7 goals and Tromsø IL an expected 1.3 goals. Aalesund have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Tromsø IL at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.7%
2:0 7.4%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 6%
3:1 5.4%
0:0 5.1%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Tromsø IL Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Aalesund at Home
W0 D3 L1 (4 games)
0% win rate
Tromsø IL Away
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate

Recent Form

Aalesund
L D D D
Tromsø IL
L W W D W

Head to Head

25 May 2026 Eliteserien
Tromso 1 : 1 Aalesund
D
08 Mar 2025 Friendlies Clubs
Aalesund 1 : 0 Tromso
L
08 Oct 2023 Eliteserien
Tromso 1 : 2 Aalesund
W