1
3%
Home Win
30.86
X
12%
Draw
8.55
2
85%
Away Win
1.18
xG Home
0.33
xG Away
2.52
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
26%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 0.3 goals and Uruguay an expected 2.5 goals. USA have a 3% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and Uruguay at 85%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
18.5%
0:3
15.5%
0:1
14.7%
0:4
9.7%
1:2
6%
0:0
5.8%
1:3
5%
1:1
4.8%
1:4
3.2%
1:0
1.9%
2:2
1%
2:3
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Uruguay Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| USA | Uruguay | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 3 | Points | 9 |
| 33% | Win % | 100% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
USA
0 : 0
Uruguay
D
USA
1 : 1
Uruguay
D