1
79%
Home Win
1.27
X
17%
Draw
6.03
2
4%
Away Win
22.32
xG Home
2.03
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
23%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 2.0 goals and Guatemala an expected 0.3 goals. USA have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Guatemala at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
20%
1:0
19.7%
3:0
13.6%
0:0
9.7%
4:0
6.9%
2:1
6%
1:1
5.9%
3:1
4.1%
0:1
2.9%
4:1
2.1%
2:2
0.9%
1:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | USA Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| USA | Guatemala | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Head to Head
USA
4 : 0
Guatemala
W
Guatemala
2 : 0
USA
L