1
85%
Home Win
1.18
X
11%
Draw
9.02
2
4%
Away Win
25.64
xG Home
2.71
xG Away
0.44
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 2.7 goals and Costa Rica an expected 0.4 goals. USA have a 85% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Costa Rica at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
15.8%
3:0
14.3%
1:0
11.7%
4:0
9.7%
2:1
6.9%
3:1
6.2%
1:1
5.1%
0:0
4.3%
4:1
4.2%
0:1
1.9%
2:2
1.5%
3:2
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | USA Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| USA | Costa Rica | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
USA
3 : 0
Costa Rica
W
Costa Rica
2 : 0
USA
L
USA
2 : 1
Costa Rica
W