USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

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USA USA
3 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 02 Jul 2026 · FIFA World Cup
1 79%
Home Win 1.26
X 10%
Draw 9.88
2 9%
Away Win 11.57
xG Home 3.91
xG Away 1.39
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
BTTS 72%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives USA an expected 3.9 goals and Bosnia & Herzegovina an expected 1.4 goals. USA have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Bosnia & Herzegovina at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 88%.

Correct Score Predictions

3:1 6.9%
4:1 6.7%
2:1 5.3%
3:0 5%
4:0 4.8%
3:2 4.8%
4:2 4.7%
2:0 3.8%
2:2 3.7%
1:1 2.7%
3:3 2.2%
4:3 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick USA Win
Probability 79%
Predicted Odds 1.27
Market Odds 1.35

Team Comparison

USA Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 League Position 3
6 Points 4
67% Win % 33%
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2