1
2%
Home Win
55.87
X
7%
Draw
13.66
2
90%
Away Win
1.11
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
3.09
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Urawa an expected 0.3 goals and Monterrey an expected 3.1 goals. Urawa have a 2% win probability, draw stands at 7%, and Monterrey at 90%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
16.6%
0:2
16.1%
0:4
12.8%
0:1
10.4%
1:3
5%
1:2
4.8%
1:4
3.8%
0:0
3.4%
1:1
3.1%
1:0
1%
2:3
0.7%
2:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monterrey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Urawa | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 0 | Points | 5 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |