1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
25%
Draw
4.06
2
28%
Away Win
3.54
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives United Arab Emirates an expected 1.6 goals and Hong Kong an expected 1.2 goals. United Arab Emirates have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Hong Kong at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
7.9%
0:1
7.2%
1:2
6.9%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | United Arab Emirates Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
