1
60%
Home Win
1.66
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
15%
Away Win
6.62
xG Home
1.60
xG Away
0.66
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Unión Santa Fe an expected 1.6 goals and Defensa y Justicia an expected 0.7 goals. Unión Santa Fe have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Defensa y Justicia at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.8%
2:0
13.4%
1:1
11%
0:0
10.5%
2:1
8.8%
3:0
7.1%
0:1
6.9%
3:1
4.7%
1:2
3.6%
2:2
2.9%
4:0
2.8%
0:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Unión Santa Fe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Unión Santa Fe | Defensa y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 12 |
| 25 | Points | 19 |
| 38% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
Venue Form
Unión Santa Fe at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Defensa y Justicia Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Unión Santa Fe
W
D
Defensa y Justicia
L
L
