1
14%
Home Win
7.05
X
24%
Draw
4.16
2
62%
Away Win
1.62
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Ulsan Hyundai FC an expected 0.6 goals and Mamelodi Sundowns an expected 1.6 goals. Ulsan Hyundai FC have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Mamelodi Sundowns at 62%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.7%
0:2
13.8%
1:1
10.7%
0:0
10.2%
1:2
8.8%
0:3
7.6%
1:0
6.5%
1:3
4.8%
2:1
3.4%
0:4
3.1%
2:2
2.8%
2:0
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ulsan Hyundai FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |