1
20%
Home Win
4.99
X
60%
Draw
1.67
2
20%
Away Win
4.99
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
2%
BTTS
7%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Turkey an expected 0.3 goals and Italy an expected 0.3 goals. Turkey have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 60%, and Italy at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 98%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
54.9%
0:1
16.5%
1:0
16.5%
1:1
4.9%
0:2
2.5%
2:0
2.5%
1:2
0.7%
2:1
0.7%
0:3
0.2%
3:0
0.2%
2:2
0.1%
1:3
0.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Draw |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Turkey | Italy | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
| 0 | Avg Goals Scored | 0 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
Venue Form
Turkey at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Turkey
L
