1
83%
Home Win
1.21
X
8%
Draw
11.99
2
6%
Away Win
15.85
xG Home
4.17
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
88%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tunisia an expected 4.2 goals and Uganda an expected 1.3 goals. Tunisia have a 83% win probability, draw stands at 8%, and Uganda at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 88%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:1
6.9%
3:1
6.6%
4:0
5.4%
3:0
5.2%
2:1
4.8%
4:2
4.4%
3:2
4.2%
2:0
3.7%
2:2
3.1%
1:1
2.3%
4:3
1.9%
3:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tunisia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Tunisia | Uganda | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 1 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
Head to Head
Tunisia
2 : 0
Uganda
W