1
28%
Home Win
3.55
X
21%
Draw
4.68
2
50%
Away Win
1.98
xG Home
1.49
xG Away
2.04
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tanzania an expected 1.5 goals and Tunisia an expected 2.0 goals. Tanzania have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Tunisia at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.1%
1:1
8.9%
2:2
6.8%
2:1
6.6%
1:3
6.2%
0:2
6.1%
0:1
6%
2:3
4.6%
1:0
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
3:2
3.4%
3:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tunisia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Tanzania | Tunisia | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 2 | Points | 4 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Tanzania
1 : 1
Tunisia
D
Tunisia
1 : 0
Tanzania
L