1
23%
Home Win
4.33
X
38%
Draw
2.64
2
39%
Away Win
2.57
xG Home
0.56
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
16%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Switzerland an expected 0.6 goals and Colombia an expected 0.8 goals. Switzerland have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 38%, and Colombia at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 84%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
24.9%
0:1
20.6%
1:0
14%
1:1
11.6%
0:2
8.5%
1:2
4.8%
2:0
3.9%
2:1
3.3%
0:3
2.3%
2:2
1.3%
1:3
1.3%
3:0
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Switzerland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Switzerland | Colombia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
