Sweden vs Romania Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 25 Sep 2026 · UEFA Nations League
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Sweden an expected 1.5 goals and Romania an expected 1.2 goals. Sweden have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Romania at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sweden Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Sweden Romania
4 League Position 3
0 Points 0

Head to Head

15 Nov 2019 Euro Championship
Romania 0 : 2 Sweden
W
23 Mar 2019 Euro Championship
Sweden 2 : 1 Romania
W
27 Mar 2018 Friendlies
Romania 1 : 0 Sweden
L