1
6%
Home Win
16.75
X
21%
Draw
4.69
2
73%
Away Win
1.38
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
21%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sudan an expected 0.3 goals and Burkina Faso an expected 1.7 goals. Sudan have a 6% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Burkina Faso at 73%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
23%
0:2
19.6%
0:0
13.5%
0:3
11.1%
1:1
6.9%
1:2
5.9%
0:4
4.7%
1:0
4%
1:3
3.3%
1:4
1.4%
2:1
1%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Burkina Faso Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Sudan | Burkina Faso | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 6 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |