1
61%
Home Win
1.63
X
22%
Draw
4.53
2
17%
Away Win
6.05
xG Home
1.87
xG Away
0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sporting CP an expected 1.9 goals and Galatasaray an expected 0.8 goals. Sporting CP have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Galatasaray at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.4%
2:0
11.5%
1:1
10.5%
2:1
9.8%
3:0
7.2%
0:0
6.6%
3:1
6.1%
0:1
5.6%
1:2
4.4%
2:2
4.1%
4:0
3.4%
4:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sporting CP Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Sporting CP | Galatasaray | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 20 |
| 16 | Points | 10 |
| 63% | Win % | 38% |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
