1
84%
Home Win
1.19
X
12%
Draw
8.06
2
3%
Away Win
31.06
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Spain an expected 2.4 goals and Austria an expected 0.3 goals. Spain have a 84% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and Austria at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
19.3%
1:0
16%
3:0
15.5%
4:0
9.4%
0:0
6.6%
2:1
5.8%
1:1
4.8%
3:1
4.7%
4:1
2.8%
0:1
2%
2:2
0.9%
1:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 84% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.19 |
| Market Odds | 1.27 |
Team Comparison
| Spain | Austria | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
