1
26%
Home Win
3.86
X
56%
Draw
1.79
2
18%
Away Win
5.45
xG Home
0.40
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
3%
BTTS
9%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Spain an expected 0.4 goals and Argentina an expected 0.3 goals. Spain have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 56%, and Argentina at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 97%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
49.6%
1:0
19.9%
0:1
14.9%
1:1
6%
2:0
4%
0:2
2.2%
2:1
1.2%
1:2
0.9%
3:0
0.5%
0:3
0.2%
2:2
0.2%
3:1
0.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Spain | Argentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 67% | Win % | 100% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Spain
6 : 1
Argentina
W