Spain U20 vs Mexico U20 Prediction

Spain U20
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 30 Sep 2026 · Friendlies
Mexico U20 Mexico U20
Match Statistics & H2H
1 45%
Home Win 2.21
X 27%
Draw 3.73
2 28%
Away Win 3.59

Match Stats & Prediction

xG Home 1.40
xG Away 1.04
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 49%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Spain U20 an expected 1.4 goals and Mexico U20 an expected 1.0 goals. Spain U20 have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Mexico U20 at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1 (~13% probability). However, when all Spain U20 Win scorelines are combined, that outcome reaches 45% — making it the strongest bet. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

1 Spain U20
45% confidence
Fair odds: 2.21

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
1:0 12.2%
0:1 9%
2:1 8.9%
0:0 8.7%
2:0 8.6%
1:2 6.6%
0:2 4.7%
2:2 4.6%
3:1 4.2%
3:0 4%
1:3 2.3%